Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.003921 0.004122 0.004328 0.004556 0.004801 0.005056 0.005342
2025-08-03 0.003548 0.003844 0.004159 0.004523 0.004932 0.005380 0.005909
2025-08-10 0.003309 0.003655 0.004036 0.004488 0.005012 0.005605 0.006333
2025-08-17 0.003191 0.003584 0.004025 0.004562 0.005202 0.005949 0.006895
2025-08-24 0.003047 0.003467 0.003948 0.004545 0.005274 0.006145 0.007281
2025-08-31 0.002916 0.003356 0.003868 0.004514 0.005320 0.006304 0.007620
2025-09-07 0.002787 0.003239 0.003772 0.004456 0.005323 0.006403 0.007882
2025-09-14 0.002670 0.003130 0.003679 0.004394 0.005314 0.006483 0.008116
2025-09-21 0.002598 0.003071 0.003644 0.004400 0.005390 0.006670 0.008499
2025-09-28 0.002466 0.002933 0.003504 0.004265 0.005274 0.006596 0.008518
2025-10-05 0.002403 0.002880 0.003468 0.004262 0.005329 0.006751 0.008860
2025-10-12 0.002377 0.002871 0.003487 0.004330 0.005480 0.007043 0.009410
2025-10-19 0.002306 0.002802 0.003428 0.004292 0.005487 0.007135 0.009679
2025-10-26 0.002242 0.002742 0.003377 0.004264 0.005506 0.007243 0.009976
2025-11-02 0.002181 0.002683 0.003325 0.004231 0.005515 0.007337 0.010255
2025-11-09 0.002164 0.002679 0.003347 0.004299 0.005670 0.007648 0.010890
2025-11-16 0.002115 0.002634 0.003310 0.004284 0.005701 0.007778 0.011241
2025-11-23 0.002065 0.002583 0.003265 0.004255 0.005712 0.007874 0.011542
2025-11-30 0.002008 0.002523 0.003204 0.004201 0.005682 0.007905 0.011735
2025-12-07 0.001952 0.002463 0.003142 0.004144 0.005645 0.007922 0.011903
2025-12-14 0.001921 0.002436 0.003125 0.004150 0.005702 0.008090 0.012339
2025-12-21 0.001848 0.002348 0.003021 0.004026 0.005555 0.007926 0.012183
2025-12-28 0.001818 0.002320 0.002999 0.004023 0.005596 0.008063 0.012571